Arizona's Superintendent Race Is Heating Up.

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 22/04/2026

A new statewide benchmark survey of Republican primary voters in Arizona reveals a closely contested race for Superintendent of Public Instruction that is as much a proxy war over the direction of the Republican Party as it is a traditional primary. Incumbent Superintendent Tom Horne holds a narrow ballot lead at 30%, with State Treasurer Kimberly Yee running a credible second at 26%. With 43% of voters still undecided, the race is genuinely fluid — but the ideological geography of each candidate's coalition is already sharply defined.

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Petersen Holds a Narrow Early Edge

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 21/04/2026

A new statewide survey of Republican voters likely to vote in the upcoming GOP primary reveals that Warren Petersen leads Rodney Glassman 15% to 13% in the 2026 Republican primary for Arizona Attorney General — a margin within the survey's margin of error. The more consequential finding is that 71% of Republican primary voters remain undecided, and the cross- sectional data reveals distinct groups of voters — rural Arizonans, retired women, low-income households, and Trump skeptics — who have formed no opinion and represent concentrated opportunities for either candidate willing to reach them first.

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Kolodin Has an Early Lead But There Are Still a Lot of Undecided Voters

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 20/04/2026

A new statewide survey of Republican voters likely to vote in the upcoming GOP primary reveals that the 2026 Arizona Republican primary for Secretary of State is the most consequential race that nobody has yet defined. With a staggering 77% of Republican primary voters still undecided, Secretary of State candidate Alex Kolodin holds a narrow early lead but faces a field where name recognition — not ideology — is the primary barrier to victory. For either candidate, the path to the nomination runs directly through voters who do not yet know who is running.

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Andy Biggs Holds Insurmountable Lead in Arizona Governor's Race

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 16/04/2026

A new statewide survey of Republican voters who are likely to vote in the upcoming GOP primary in July reveals that Congressman Andy Biggs has established a commanding and structurally durable lead in the 2026 Republican primary for Governor of Arizona. With 52% of Republican primary voters already committed to Biggs — and his nearest competitor at just 10% — the race has taken on the character of a coronation rather than a competitive primary.

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